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Just hours before the final between PSG and Arsenal, projections from the FootProbability model give the Gunners a slight edge. Arsenal has a 42% chance of winning compared to 36% for Paris Saint-Germain, while a draw is at 22%.
The most likely score is 1-1, suggesting an extremely close final. Despite this, the overall distribution of favorable scenarios leans slightly in Arsenal's favor, particularly due to a greater number of projections where the Londoners manage to secure a victory.
PSG nevertheless retains a strong attacking arsenal, and the gap between the two teams remains relatively small. This final appears to be one of the most open in recent years, according to the model's estimates.