The schedule for July 20, 2026, offers a great series of matches in Northern Europe, with several opportunities identified by the FootProbability model. After analyzing probabilities, odds, and expected value, three matches stand out as the best bets of the day. In addition, several Value Bets offer interesting potential for bettors looking for returns.
Les trois meilleurs pronostics du 20 juillet
🇸🇪 Orgryte IS vs Djurgardens IF
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
The Swedish league opens this selection with a match that offers strong attacking potential. The model assigns a 74.7% probability to a match with at least three goals, while both teams also have a 72.9% chance of scoring. The most likely score is 2-1 in favor of Djurgardens. Despite relatively low odds of 1.48, the value remains positive at +10.5%, making it the best pick of the day.
🇫🇮 Mariehamn vs Lahti
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
The Veikkausliiga clash pits two teams against each other with limited attacking statistics. The model estimates only a 39.1% chance of seeing more than two goals in the match, with an expected score of 1-1. The odds of 2.19 offer an excellent Value Bet of +33.4%, the highest among today's top predictions.
🇫🇮 Turku PS vs Ilves
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
This other Finnish match presents a completely different profile. The model predicts an open game with a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61.5% chance of both teams finding the net. The expected score is 2-1, justifying the choice of the over bet despite the more conservative odds of 1.68.
Value Bets to Watch
Beyond the Top 3, several bets show an interesting difference between the probabilities calculated by the model and the odds offered by the bookmakers.
The most attractive matchup is Kalmar FF against Malmö FF, where Kalmar's victory has an EV of +39.7% with odds of 2.85. Despite Malmö's usual status as favorite, the model estimates Kalmar's chances at 49%, creating significant value.
In Lithuania, Suduva Marijampole is also supported by the model against Hegelmann, while in Romania, Corvinul Hunedoara is an interesting option at home against Csikszereda. Finally, in Iceland, Keflavik shows slight positive value against IA Akranes.
FootProbability Analysis
Today's selection combines different profiles. The two goal bets (Over and Under) rely on significant statistical discrepancies between calculated probabilities and available odds. Meanwhile, the 1X2 Value Bets offer potentially high returns but naturally involve a higher level of risk.
As always, FootProbability favours bets with real statistical value, rather than just market favourites.
Find all the analyses, detailed probabilities, probable goalscorers and model performance on FootProbability.com.