Football predictions for August 28, 2026 are available on FootProbability. The model analyzes 56 matches today and identifies 27 Value Bets, with an average EV of +19.7% and an average confidence of 53.2%.
But beyond the number of matches available, the day is distinguished above all by a particularly homogeneous Top 3, with three selections exceeding 50% confidence.
⭐ Highlight match of the day: Austria Lustenau – WSG Wattens
Prediction: Austria Lustenau victory
Odds: 2.28
EV: +48.0%
Confidence: 64.9%
Model score: 76/100
Probable score: 2-0
This is the selection that clearly dominates the FootProbability ranking today.
The model estimates that the probability of a victory for Austria Lustenau at home is significantly higher than that implicitly represented by the odds of 2.28.
With a 64.9% confidence, an EV of +48.0% and above all an excellent model score of 76/100, this meeting brings together the best indicators of the day.
The most likely score scenario calculated by FootProbability is 2-0.
🎯 Match Fort FootProbability : Austria Lustenau gagne @2,28.
🏆 FootProbability Top 3 for August 28th
Today's ranking presents three interesting profiles combining model score, confidence and detected value.
🥇 Austria Lustenau – WSG Wattens
Prediction: Austria Lustenau victory
Odds: 2.28
EV: +48.0%
Confidence: 64.9%
Model score: 76/100
Probable score: 2-0
It is both number 1 in the Top 3 and the Match of the Day.
Its distinctive feature lies in the balance of its indicators: the rating remains above 2.00 while the confidence in the model approaches 65%.
🥈 Penybont – Flint Town United
Prognosis: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.12
EV: +25.2%
Confidence: 55.5%
Model score: 68/100
Probable score: 1-0
FootProbability anticipates a relatively tight match here.
The Under 2.5 goals has a confidence of 55.5%, associated with odds of 2.12 and a positive EV of +25.2%.
The likely score of 1-0 is consistent with this scenario.
🥉 Bohemians – Sligo Rovers
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.37
EV: +26.0%
Confidence: 51.6%
Model score: 66/100
Probable score: 1-1
Third place goes to a new selection in the goals market.
The model favors a Under 2.5 with an attractive rating of 2.37.
Confidence is lower than on the first two selections, but remains above 50%, while EV reaches +26,0 %.
📊 A particularly consistent Top 3
This is probably the most interesting element of this day.
All three selections display model scores of:
🥇 76/100
🥈 68/100
🥉 66/100
And their confidence levels are respectively:
64,9 % · 55,5 % · 51,6 %
Unlike some days where a high EV can be associated with relatively low confidence, the Top 3 of August 28 therefore presents a better overall balance.
This obviously does not guarantee any result, but it gives more consistency to the selection proposed by the model.
🧩 System 2 out of 3 for today
The three selections also make up the 2 out of 3 system proposed by FootProbability:
1. Austria Lustenau wins @2.28
2. Penybont – Flint Town United: Under 2.5 @2.12
3. Bohemians – Sligo Rovers: Under 2.5 @2.37
The system displays:
Average model score: 70/100
Average EV: +33.1%
FootProbability suggests a cautious total stake of €3 to €5, spread across the three doubles.
The 2 out of 3 system principle allows winning combinations to be maintained when two out of three selections are correct. However, it never eliminates the risk of loss.
💎 27 Value Bets detected today
The Top 3 represents only a small part of the day's opportunities.
Of the 56 matches analyzed, FootProbability classifies 27 matches as Value Bets.
Among the other selections that emerge from the model, several present interesting profiles.
Legia Warszawa – Slask Wroclaw
Prediction: Legia Warszawa victory
Odds: 1.50
EV: +14.9%
Model score: 63/100
Probable score: 2-0
A selection with a lower rating than the Strong Match, but a solid model score of 63/100.
Slavia Sofia – Septemvri Sofia
Prognosis: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.68
EV: +22.5%
Model score: 58/100
Probable score: 0-0
The model here very clearly favours a scenario with few goals.
Aluminij – Koper
Prediction: Victory Aluminij
Odds: 3.29
EV: +34.6%
Model score: 57/100
Probable score: 2-1
This selection presents a more offensive profile with odds significantly higher than 3.00.
Groningen – Fortuna Sittard
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Odds: 2.73
EV: +27.5%
Model score: 55/100
Probable score: 1-1
Another opportunity detected in the Under/Over market, with a rating of 2.73.
⚠️ Beware of very high EVs
Some of the day's matches have particularly high theoretical EVs.
This is a good opportunity to remember that a high EV is not synonymous with a safe bet.
A high odds combined with a gap between the probability calculated by the model and that of the market can produce a spectacular EV.
FootProbability therefore does not simply rank matches according to EV.
The model score, the confidence, the quality of the data and the different selection criteria allow us to put this value back into its context.
This is one of the reasons why a selection with a very high EV can remain behind another offering a lower EV but a stronger overall profile.
🎯 What can we learn from the predictions of August 28th?
FootProbability today analyzes 56 matches and detects 27 Value Bets.
The main selection is:
⭐ Austria Lustenau – WSG Wattens : victoire Austria Lustenau @2,28
with :
Model score: 76/100
Confidence: 64.9%
EV: +48.0%
Probable score: 2-0
The Top 3 is completed by:
🥈 Penybont – Flint Town United : Under 2,5 @2,12
🥉 Bohemians – Sligo Rovers : Under 2,5 @2,37
With an average score of 70/100, this Top 3 is one of the most consistent selections recently offered by the model.
👉 Retrouvez les 56 matchs analysés, les 27 Value Bets, les probabilités détaillées et les scores probables dans l’Espace Membre FootProbability.
Statistics. Probabilities. Value.
FootProbability predictions are based on statistical models and do not guarantee any results. Sports betting involves a risk of loss. Gamble responsibly.