The day of **September 9, 2026**, is not yet fully over at the time of publishing this summary. Several matches in the Americas are still in progress, so FootProbability is awaiting their final results before compiling the complete statistics for the day.
📊 Update for September 9: results still pending
Among the 11 predictions with recorded results, FootProbability currently lists:
✅ 5 pronostics gagnants
❌ 6 pronostics perdants
Several attractive odds were nonetheless successfully backed:
🔥 Zeljeznicar @3,35 ✅
🔥 Exmouth @3,01 ✅
🔥 Toronto FC @2,90 ✅
✅ Al Kholood @2,70
✅ Vaprus @2,23
The Matsumoto Yamaga pick at 2.80 fell short after a spectacular 3-3 draw, while Derby, Tochigi, and Gangwon failed to live up to the model's probabilities.
⭐ The top pick at odds of 2.90 is a winner!
The "Fort FootProbability" match on September 9th was **Toronto FC to win against Nashville SC at odds of 2.90**.
Après avoir été tenu en échec une grande partie de la rencontre, Toronto a finalement arraché la victoire 2-1 dans le temps additionnel. ✅
This transparency is important: FootProbability publishes the model's results—both winning and losing—without cherry-picking only positive performances.
⚽ Predictions for September 10: a very demanding day
The FootProbability model analyzed the following today:
⚽ 26 matchs analysés
💎 3 Value Bets seulement
📈 EV moyenne : +13,3 %
⭐ Confiance moyenne : 44,4 %
It is a significantly quieter day. The model isn't forcing selections: currently, only **3 Value Bets out of 26 matches** meet the criteria.
⭐ Strong Match: Bokelj – Otrant-Olympic
We're heading to Montenegro for today's featured match.
Bokelj – Otrant-Olympic
🎯 Victoire de Bokelj
Model score: 52/100
Odds: 2.80
EV: +27.0%
Confidence: 45.4%
Probable score: 2-1
The model detects an advantage for Bokelj at home, but with moderate confidence. It is therefore an interesting opportunity rather than a clear-cut favorite.
🏆 Top Football Probability of the Day
The main selection currently displayed is therefore:
🥇 Bokelj – Otrant-Olympic
🎯 Victoire Bokelj @2,80
📊 Score : 52/100
📈 EV : +27,0 %
⭐ Confiance : 45,4 %.
And that is precisely an important point: FootProbability does not artificially create a Top 3 when there aren't three sufficiently strong selections.
🧩 The 2-out-of-3 system seems more attractive.
In contrast, the 2/3 system offers three selections with significantly higher model scores.
1. Panathinaikos – Kifisia
🎯 BTTS Oui @2,20
Score : 62/100
EV : +23,7 %
Confidence: 56,2 %
2. USM Alger – JS El Biar
🎯 BTTS Oui @2,17
Score : 61/100
EV : +22,1 %
Confidence: 56,3 %
3. Como – RB Leipzig
🎯 Under 2,5 @2,46
Score : 59/100
EV : +38,4 %
Confidence: 56,3 %
The system thus shows an average score of 61/100 and an average EV of +28.1%.
👉 C’est clairement la partie que je mets en avant aujourd’hui, davantage que le Top du jour.
🛡️ Favorite of the day: Los Angeles FC
FootProbability also identifies a logical favorite:
Los Angeles FC – New York Red Bulls
🎯 Los Angeles FC gagne @1,38
📊 Probability model: 52,1 %
Here again, a distinction must be made between the **logical favorite** and a **value bet**: a team may be the market favorite—and confirmed as such by the model—without offering sufficient value at its odds to constitute a value bet.
🔎 A few interesting matches to watch
Among the other analyses, the **Manchester United vs. Sabah FA** match stands out for the "Under 2.5 goals" market at odds of **3.88**, with a score of **58/100** and a very high theoretical EV of **+116.2%**. However, such a significant discrepancy with the market warrants checking the actual odds before considering the selection.
Fenerbahçe – AS Roma also offers a BTTS – No bet at 2.25, with a score of 53/100 and an EV of +20.5%.
In MLS, the **Houston Dynamo vs. Real Salt Lake** match stands out for the "Under 2.5 goals" bet at odds of 2.07, with a score of 59/100 and an EV of +16%.
🎯 Key takeaways from September 10?
The day of September 9 remains open, with several American matches still in progress. The final tally will therefore be published once all results are known.
For this **September 10th**, FootProbability is taking a particularly selective approach: **26 matches analyzed for just 3 Value Bets**.
The top pick is **Bokelj to win @2.80**, but the **2/3 system stands out as the day's most solid play**, with three scores ranging from 59 to 62/100.
A day with few value bets is not necessarily a bad day. On the contrary: the model's goal is to identify an edge when one exists, not to suggest bets at all costs.
FootProbability analyzes the probabilities. The results decide the rest.
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