Another day of analysis for FP Analyst this Monday August 10, 2026.
The FootProbability model analyzes available matches to look for discrepancies between its statistical probabilities and the odds actually offered by the market.
Today, 20 encounters are analyzed by the model.
After filtering, three matches make up the Top 3 of the day: Karpaty – LNZ Cherkasy, Sepsi OSK – FCSB and CFR 1907 Cluj – Universitatea Cluj.
⭐ Best prediction of the day: Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy
Head to the Ukrainian Premier League for today's best prediction.
🇺🇦 Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy
🎯 Pronostic : victoire de Karpaty
- 💰 Rating: 3.04
- 📈 EV : +48,0 %
- 📊 Model score: 57/100
- ⭐ Probability of winning: 48,7 %
- ⚽ Probable score: 2-1
The model gives Karpaty the favorite with a 48.7% probability, compared to 25.8% for a draw and 25.5% for LNZ Cherkasy. At odds of 3.04, the resulting spread leads FootProbability to an EV of +48.0%.
This is precisely the type of situation sought by FP Analyst: a sufficiently interesting probability associated with a price that potentially offers value.
🏆 Top 3 FootProbability for August 10, 2026
🥇 Karpaty vs LNZ Cherkasy
🎯 Victoire Karpaty
💰 Rating: 3.04
📈 EV : +48,0 %
📊 Model score: 57/100
⭐ Probability: 48,7 %
Karpaty is the No. 1 FP Analyst today and also takes first place in system 2 out of 3.
🥈 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSB
🎯 Victoire Sepsi OSK
💰 Rating: 3.90
📈 EV : +72,4 %
📊 Model score: 55/100
⭐ Probability of winning: 44,2 %
⚽ Probable score: 2-1
The odds of 3.90 explain the particularly high EV detected on this match.
However, be aware: a high EV does not necessarily mean a high probability of victory. The model estimates Sepsi's chances here at 44.2%.
🥉 CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
🎯 Victoire Universitatea Cluj
💰 Rating: 4.30
📈 EV : +36,5 %
📊 Model score: 53/100
⭐ Probability: 31,7 %
⚽ Probable score: 1-2
This third selection is bolder. The probability of an outside win remains significantly lower than that of the first two selections, but the odds of 4.30 allow the model to identify a positive EV.
🧩 System 2 out of 3 for today
FootProbability today offers these three selections in a 2 out of 3 system:
- 🇺🇦 Karpaty – LNZ Cherkasy → Victoire Karpaty @3.04
- 🇷🇴 Sepsi OSK – FCSB → Victoire Sepsi @3.90
- 🇷🇴 CFR Cluj – Universitatea Cluj → Victoire Universitatea Cluj @4.30
📊 Score moyen : 55/100
📈 EV moyenne : +52,3 %
💰 Mise suggérée : 3 € à 5 € au total, répartie sur les trois doubles.
With relatively high odds, this system naturally presents more variance than a system composed of favorites with low odds.
📊 Another Value Bet to watch: TransINVEST Vilnius – Panevėžys
A different selection of 1X2 also emerges today.
🇱🇹 TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys
🎯 Under 2.5 goals
💰 Rating: 2.20
📈 EV : +9,7 %
📊 Model score: 53/100
The calculated probability for Over 2.5 is almost balanced at 50.1%, which leads the model towards Under with the available odds at 2.20.
⚽ Sirius – Brommapojkarna: the BTTS market emerges
Another interesting profile in Sweden:
🇸🇪 Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna
🎯 BTTS Oui – Les deux équipes marquent
💰 Rating: 1.67
📈 EV : +11,5 %
📊 Model score: 57/100
⚽ BTTS Probability: 66,8 %
📈 Probability Over 2.5: 71,1 %
Unlike the Top 3, here we find a market based on goals rather than the final result.
💥 Shot of the day: CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
FP Analyst distingue également un Coup du jour sur cette même rencontre roumaine.
The choice presented in this block is:
🎯 Victoire CFR 1907 Cluj
💰 Rating: 2.60
📈 EV : +10,0 %
📊 Model score: 33/100
This match clearly illustrates why it is necessary to distinguish between the different selections generated by the model: the Top 3 system selects the away win at 4.30, while the “Coup of the day” block displays the home win at 2.60.
Why doesn't FootProbability simply select the favorites?
FootProbability is not only looking to determine which team has the best chance of winning.
The principle of a Value Bet is to compare:
Model probability × market odds
A team can therefore be a favorite without showing any value at its current odds.
The example of Rīgas FS – Grobiņa is particularly telling. The model gives Rīgas FS a 70.8% chance of winning, but the odds are only 1.14. The displayed EV is therefore -19.3%: the match remains to be followed but is not considered a Value Bet on this selection.
This is a crucial distinction: high probability does not automatically mean an interesting bet.
Conclusion
For this August 10, 2026, FP Analyst has selected a Top 3 particularly focused on the 1X2 market:
🥇 Karpaty → victoire @3.04 — EV +48,0 %
🥈 Sepsi OSK → victoire @3.90 — EV +72,4 %
🥉 Universitatea Cluj → victoire @4.30 — EV +36,5 %
The system displays an average EV of +52.3% and an average score of 55/100.
Odds are high today: the theoretical potential is therefore significant, but the level of risk is also significant.
📊 FP Analyst — Trust The Numbers.
The probabilities and predictions presented are statistical estimates and do not guarantee any outcome. Sports betting involves a risk of loss. Gamble responsibly.