Big football day this August 8, 2026 for the FootProbability model.
In total, 95 matches were analyzed. Among them, the model identified 7 Value Bets, with an average Expected Value of +41.0% and an average confidence of 44.9%.
The objective remains the same: not simply to look for the favorite in a match, but to identify situations where the probability calculated by the model is more interesting than that suggested by the market odds.
📊 Figures for August 8, 2026
Today, FootProbability displays:
- ⚽ 95 matchs analysés
- 💰 7 Value Bets
- 📈 Average EV: +41.0%
- ⭐ Confiance moyenne : 44,9 %
With nearly 100 matches analyzed, the model remains very selective: only 7 matches are classified as Value Bets.
⭐ Best prediction of the day: FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
Head to the Japanese J1 League for today's best prediction.
🇯🇵 FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
🎯 Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
- 📊 Model score: 58/100
- 💰 Rating: 2.35
- 📈 EV : +26,2 %
- 📊 Probability Over 2.5: 53,7 %
- ⚽ BTTS Probability: 56,3 %
Le modèle détecte ici un écart positif entre sa probabilité et la cote disponible. Avec une cote de 2.35, l’Over 2.5 constitue la sélection principale de FootProbability pour cette rencontre.
🏆 Top 3 FootProbability for August 8, 2026
🥇 1. FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
🎯 Over 2.5 goals
This match has the best model score of the day's selection.
Cote : 2.35
EV : +26,2 %
Model score: 58/100
🥈 2. Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe
🎯 Victoire Avispa Fukuoka
This is one of the most spectacular Value Bets of the day in terms of Expected Value.
- 💰 Rating: 4.46
- 📈 EV : +97,1 %
- 📊 Model score: 55/100
- 🎯 Avispa's probability of victory: 44,2 %
- ⚽ Probable score: 2-1
The high odds largely explain the particularly high EV. However, this selection is more exposed because of these odds.
🥉 3. Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm
🎯 Victoire Orgryte IS
Next stop, Sweden for the third selection.
- 💰 Rating: 3.10
- 📈 EV : +38,9 %
- 📊 Model score: 55/100
- 🎯 Orgryte victory probability: 44,8 %
- ⚽ Probable score: 2-1
The model considers that the odds of 3.10 remain sufficiently high relative to the estimated probability to create a Value Bet.
💥 Shot of the day: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
A fourth encounter also deserves our attention.
🇰🇷 Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
🎯 Over 2.5 goals
- 💰 Rating: 2.31
- 📈 EV : +22,3 %
- 📊 Model score: 52/100
- 📊 Probability Over 2.5: 53,0 %
- ⚽ BTTS : 56,3 %
FootProbability classifies this selection as Coup of the day, with an interesting profile but more exposed than the main selection.
🧩 System 2 of 3 for today
The quality of the first three selections also allows the model to offer a 2 out of 3 system.
The three choices are:
- FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia — Over 2.5
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe — Victoire Avispa Fukuoka
- Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm — Orgryte IS Victory
The system displays an average score of 56/100 and, above all, an average EV of +54.1%.
💰 La mise suggérée par FootProbability est de 3 € à 5 € au total, répartie sur les trois doubles.
A rich day, but still selective
Perhaps the most interesting figure today is not just the number of Value Bets.
Sur 95 rencontres analysées, seulement 7 sont finalement classées comme Value Bets.
This selection illustrates FootProbability's philosophy: analyze many matches without seeking to transform each match into a betting opportunity.
A high odds or a strong probability is not enough. It is the relationship between estimated probability, available odds and Expected Value that determines the statistical significance of a selection.
Conclusion
The August 8, 2026 therefore presents a particularly comprehensive program with 95 matches analyzed and 7 Value Bets detected.
The FootProbability Top 3 consists of:
🥇 FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia — Over 2.5
🥈 Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe — Victoire Avispa Fukuoka
🥉 Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm — Orgryte IS Victory
With an average EV of +54.1% on the 2 out of 3 system, the day offers several interesting statistical deviations, while requiring, as always, prudent stake management.
📊 Trust The Numbers.
The predictions are based on a statistical model and do not guarantee any outcome. Sports betting involves a risk of loss. Gamble responsibly.
