{"id":1176,"date":"2026-05-29T13:22:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T13:22:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?p=1176"},"modified":"2026-05-29T13:22:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T13:22:25","slug":"finale-de-ligue-des-champions-arsenal-legerement-favori-selon-le-modele-footprobability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/finale-de-ligue-des-champions-arsenal-legerement-favori-selon-le-modele-footprobability\/","title":{"rendered":"Champions League Final: Arsenal slight favorites according to the FootProbability model"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin:20px 0; text-align:center;\">\n <script type=\"text\/javascript\" charset=\"utf-8\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gambling-affiliation.com\/cpm\/v=rMlCqQBjD7PqPfSoobDhlfHpfNyTxFcpjWR-MEWc8.c_GA7331V2&#038;aff_var_1=\"><\/script>>\n<\/div>\n\nJust hours before the final between PSG and Arsenal, projections from the FootProbability model give the Gunners a slight edge. Arsenal has a 42% chance of winning compared to 36% for Paris Saint-Germain, while a draw is at 22%.\n\nThe most likely score is 1-1, suggesting an extremely close final. Despite this, the overall distribution of favorable scenarios leans slightly in Arsenal's favor, particularly due to a greater number of projections where the Londoners manage to secure a victory.\n\nPSG nevertheless retains a strong attacking arsenal, and the gap between the two teams remains relatively small. This final appears to be one of the most open in recent years, according to the model's estimates.","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>> \u00c0 quelques heures de la finale entre le PSG et Arsenal, les projections du mod\u00e8le FootProbability donnent un l\u00e9ger [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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