{"id":1217,"date":"2026-06-09T00:22:38","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T00:22:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?p=1217"},"modified":"2026-06-09T00:22:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T00:22:40","slug":"trois-outsiders-a-plus-de-3-40-de-cote-reperes-par-le-modele-footprobability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/trois-outsiders-a-plus-de-3-40-de-cote-reperes-par-le-modele-footprobability\/","title":{"rendered":"Three outsiders with odds over 3.40 identified by the FootProbability model"},"content":{"rendered":"Today promises to be particularly interesting for fans of statistical analysis. After filtering the competitions and eliminating the least reliable matches, the FootProbability model identified several significant discrepancies between the estimated probabilities and the odds offered on the market.\n\nOf the 32 matches selected today, 12 stand out as potential value bets. The average expected return detected reaches +35.3%, a particularly high level compared to usual standards.\n\nThe first opportunity concerns the friendly match between Belarus and Burkina Faso. Despite high odds of 3.50 for a Belarusian victory, the model gives the home team almost a 50\/50 chance of winning. This difference between the calculated probability and the market odds makes it one of the most interesting selections of the day.\n\nThe same is true for the match between Cambodia and Hong Kong. The model estimates that the home team has a higher probability of winning than that suggested by the bookmakers. With odds of 3.44, this match is among the best bets identified today.\n\nFinally, the Ukrainian league also offers a notable opportunity with Ahrobizens Volochysk facing Kudrivka. Here again, the model identifies a statistical advantage for the home team, with odds of 3.70.\n\nFor users who enjoy using systems, these three selections make up today's 2 out of 3 multiple bet. This type of betting helps limit variance while retaining the potential offered by high odds.\n<div class=\"fp-banner-partenaire\">\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" charset=\"utf-8\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gambling-affiliation.com\/cpm\/v=JpteW17g-TSH981P6ET.TrmR7lDHK0y0M18F6f7MPjQ_GA7331V2&#038;aff_var_1=\"><\/script>\n<\/div>\n\nIn the goals markets, the Almeria vs. Castell\u00f3n match also attracts attention with a favorable projection for an open game. The model favors a scenario with over 2.5 goals, supported by above-average attacking indicators.\n\nAs always, FootProbability's projections are based on probability analysis, value bet identification, and the study of discrepancies between the model's estimates and available odds. This approach primarily aims to identify the most interesting statistical opportunities of the day.","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La journ\u00e9e s&rsquo;annonce particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressante pour les amateurs d&rsquo;analyse statistique. Apr\u00e8s avoir filtr\u00e9 les comp\u00e9titions et \u00e9limin\u00e9 les matchs les [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trois outsiders \u00e0 plus de 3.40 de cote rep\u00e9r\u00e9s par le mod\u00e8le FootProbability -<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pronostics football du jour : FootProbability d\u00e9tecte plusieurs outsiders \u00e0 forte valeur, dont Belarus, Cambodia et Ahrobiznes. D\u00e9couvrez les meilleures analyses, value bets et s\u00e9lections du mod\u00e8le.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/trois-outsiders-a-plus-de-3-40-de-cote-reperes-par-le-modele-footprobability\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trois outsiders \u00e0 plus de 3.40 de cote rep\u00e9r\u00e9s par le mod\u00e8le FootProbability -\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pronostics football du jour : FootProbability d\u00e9tecte plusieurs outsiders \u00e0 forte valeur, dont Belarus, Cambodia et Ahrobiznes. 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