{"id":5266,"date":"2026-07-29T01:22:46","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T01:22:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?p=5266"},"modified":"2026-07-29T01:24:20","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T01:24:20","slug":"pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"FootProbability predictions for July 29, 2026: the 3 best Value Bets selected by our model"},"content":{"rendered":"

The day of July 29, 2026<\/strong> offers many interesting matches between the Brazilian championship, the Argentinian championship and the preliminary rounds of European competitions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The FootProbability model analyzed 23 matches and identified 4 Value Bets, with an average EV of +21.9% and an average confidence of 54.0%. These selections are derived from our Dixon-Coles statistical model, which compares calculated probabilities to the odds offered to identify opportunities with positive expected value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama: the best prediction of the day<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The best Foot Probability prediction for July 29, 2026<\/strong> concerns the match between Chapecoense-SC<\/strong> and Vasco da Gama<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our model recommends the market Over 2.5 goals<\/strong> with a model score of 62\/100<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The odds of 2.15<\/strong> generate an EV of +39.9%<\/strong>, making it the best statistical opportunity of the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The model estimates a 65%<\/strong> probability of seeing at least three goals in this match, with a theoretical score close to 1-1<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos: a derby conducive to goals<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Second selection of the model, S\u00e3o Paulo<\/strong> hosts Santos<\/strong> in a derby that is always highly anticipated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FootProbability also favours the Over 2.5 goals<\/strong> market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This match has the best model score of the day (67\/100)<\/strong>, with an EV of +26.9%<\/strong> for odds of 2.20<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The model assigns a probability of 57.7%<\/strong> to the Over 2.5 market and 57.6%<\/strong> to the BTTS market, which confirms the offensive potential of this poster.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Barracas Central vs Aldosivi: Value Bet in 1X2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In Argentina, the model highlights Barracas Central<\/strong> against Aldosivi<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This time, the best opportunity is in the 1X2<\/strong> market with a victory for the home team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The calculated probability reaches 52.8%<\/strong>, while the odds of 2.41<\/strong> allow us to obtain an EV of +27.3%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The most likely theoretical score is a 1-0<\/strong> victory, in a match that should remain relatively close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

System 2 out of 3 recommended<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

For players wishing to limit their risk, the model also offers a 2 out of 3 system<\/strong> composed of the three best selections:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama<\/strong> \u2192 Over 2.5 goals<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos<\/strong> \u2192 Over 2.5 goals<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Barracas Central vs Aldosivi<\/strong> \u2192 Victory Barracas Central<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    This system displays an average score of 63\/100<\/strong> with an average EV of +31.3%<\/strong>, for a recommended stake of between \u20ac3 and \u20ac5<\/strong>, spread over the different doubles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    FootProbability analysis for July 29, 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    The FootProbability<\/a> predictions for July 29, 2026<\/strong> highlight several interesting opportunities, mainly in the goals market in Brazil and in the 1X2<\/strong> market in Argentina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    As always, the published selections are based on a statistical approach incorporating the probabilities of victory, bookmaker odds, and expected value (EV). A Value Bet<\/strong> never guarantees the outcome of a match, but it represents an opportunity identified by the model when the offered odds are higher than the estimated probability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    La journ\u00e9e du 29 juillet 2026 propose de nombreuses affiches int\u00e9ressantes entre le championnat br\u00e9silien, le championnat argentin et les […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nPronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"D\u00e9couvrez les meilleurs pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026. Notre mod\u00e8le Dixon-Coles met en avant trois Value Bets \u00e0 forte valeur attendue, dont Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama et S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"D\u00e9couvrez les meilleurs pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026. Notre mod\u00e8le Dixon-Coles met en avant trois Value Bets \u00e0 forte valeur attendue, dont Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama et S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-07-29T01:22:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-29T01:24:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Johan BENARD\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Johan BENARD\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Johan BENARD\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7\"},\"headline\":\"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026 : les 3 meilleures Value Bets s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9es par notre mod\u00e8le\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-07-29T01:22:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-07-29T01:24:20+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":513,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Uncategorized\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/\",\"name\":\"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-07-29T01:22:46+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-07-29T01:24:20+00:00\",\"description\":\"D\u00e9couvrez les meilleurs pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026. Notre mod\u00e8le Dixon-Coles met en avant trois Value Bets \u00e0 forte valeur attendue, dont Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama et S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026 : les 3 meilleures Value Bets s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9es par notre mod\u00e8le\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"footprobability.com\",\"description\":\"Joue comme Footprobability.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":[\"Person\",\"Organization\"],\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7\",\"name\":\"Johan BENARD\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png\",\"width\":589,\"height\":694,\"caption\":\"Johan BENARD\"},\"logo\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png\"},\"sameAs\":[\"http:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/footprobability.com\\\/en\\\/author\\\/benard-johan-mariegmail-com\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026","description":"D\u00e9couvrez les meilleurs pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026. Notre mod\u00e8le Dixon-Coles met en avant trois Value Bets \u00e0 forte valeur attendue, dont Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama et S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026","og_description":"D\u00e9couvrez les meilleurs pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026. Notre mod\u00e8le Dixon-Coles met en avant trois Value Bets \u00e0 forte valeur attendue, dont Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama et S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos.","og_url":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/","article_published_time":"2026-07-29T01:22:46+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-07-29T01:24:20+00:00","author":"Johan BENARD","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Johan BENARD","Estimated reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/"},"author":{"name":"Johan BENARD","@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/#\/schema\/person\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7"},"headline":"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026 : les 3 meilleures Value Bets s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9es par notre mod\u00e8le","datePublished":"2026-07-29T01:22:46+00:00","dateModified":"2026-07-29T01:24:20+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/"},"wordCount":513,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/#\/schema\/person\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7"},"articleSection":["Uncategorized"],"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/","url":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/","name":"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/#website"},"datePublished":"2026-07-29T01:22:46+00:00","dateModified":"2026-07-29T01:24:20+00:00","description":"D\u00e9couvrez les meilleurs pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026. Notre mod\u00e8le Dixon-Coles met en avant trois Value Bets \u00e0 forte valeur attendue, dont Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco da Gama et S\u00e3o Paulo vs Santos.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/pronostics-footprobability-29-juillet-2026\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Accueil","item":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Pronostics FootProbability du 29 juillet 2026 : les 3 meilleures Value Bets s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9es par notre mod\u00e8le"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/","name":"footprobability.com","description":"Plays like Footprobability.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/#\/schema\/person\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-GB"},{"@type":["Person","Organization"],"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/#\/schema\/person\/692dd5323c214dc804f5e9a0d1273be7","name":"Johan BENARD","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-GB","@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png","url":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png","width":589,"height":694,"caption":"Johan BENARD"},"logo":{"@id":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/cropped-ChatGPT-Image-20-mars-2026-21_30_26.png"},"sameAs":["http:\/\/footprobability.com"],"url":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/author\/benard-johan-mariegmail-com\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5266","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5266"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5269,"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5266\/revisions\/5269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}