{"id":5848,"date":"2026-08-09T04:31:35","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T04:31:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?p=5848"},"modified":"2026-08-09T04:31:37","modified_gmt":"2026-08-09T04:31:37","slug":"pronostics-football-9-aout-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-football-9-aout-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Football predictions for August 9, 2026: 10 Value Bets detected by FootProbability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">On August 9, 2026, the FootProbability model once again puts a big day of football under scrutiny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">In total, <strong>108 matches were analyzed<\/strong> and only <strong>10 are classified as Value Bets<\/strong>. The <strong>average EV reached +29.6%<\/strong>, with an average confidence of <strong>45.2%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">This limited selection compared to the number of matches analyzed illustrates the principle of FootProbability: <strong>seek value rather than multiply bets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcca Figures from August 9, 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u26bd <strong>108 matchs analys\u00e9s<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcb0 <strong>10 Value Bets<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 <strong>EV moyenne : +29,6 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u2b50 <strong>Confiance moyenne : 45,2 %<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2b50 Best prediction of the day: Inter Turku vs Lahti<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">Head to the Finnish <strong>Veikkausliiga<\/strong> for the best prediction posted today by FP Analyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\uddeb\ud83c\uddee Inter Turku vs Lahti<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Prediction: Under 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udcca Model score: <strong>62\/100<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcb0 Rating: <strong>1.90<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 EV : <strong>+37,4 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u26bd Probable score: <strong>0-0<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc9 Probability Over 2.5: <strong>27,7 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\udfaf BTTS Probability: <strong>36,5 %<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">The model therefore anticipates a rather close match. With odds of <strong>1.90<\/strong>, the Under 2.5 presents an interesting gap between the estimated probability and the price offered by the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfc6 Top 3 FootProbability for August 9, 2026<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">For its <strong>system 2 out of 3<\/strong>, FP Analyst selects three matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udd47 Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udcb0 Rating: <strong>1.67<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 EV : <strong>+11,7 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcca Model score: <strong>55\/100<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 Probability Over 2.5: <strong>66,9 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u26bd BTTS Probability: <strong>64,7 %<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The attacking profile of the match leads the model to favor the goals market rather than a 1X2 selection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udd48 IFK G\u00f6teborg vs Kalmar FF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Under 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udcb0 Rating: <strong>2.15<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 EV : <strong>+13,3 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcca Model score: <strong>50\/100<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc9 Probability Over 2.5: <strong>47,3 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u26bd Probable score: <strong>1-1<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">With a rating above 2.00, the model identifies a positive value on the <strong>Under 2.5<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udd49 Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udfaf <strong>Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udcb0 Rating: <strong>2.10<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 EV : <strong>+11,0 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcca Model score: <strong>43\/100<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc8 Probability Over 2.5: <strong>52,9 %<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u26bd BTTS Probability: <strong>56,3 %<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">The third selection takes us to the Polish <strong>Ekstraklasa<\/strong>, with an Over 2.5 bet offered at odds of <strong>2.10<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd25 Other interesting Value Bets<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The top 3 is not necessarily composed of the three highest EVs. Among the other matches analyzed, several discrepancies stand out in particular.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 <strong>Argentinos JRS vs Racing Club<\/strong> affiche notamment un <strong>Over 2.5 \u00e0 2.79 pour +47,2 % d&rsquo;EV<\/strong>, avec un score mod\u00e8le de 57\/100.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf2 <strong>Shirak vs FC Noah<\/strong> propose <strong>BTTS Oui \u00e0 2.25<\/strong>, pour une EV de <strong>+26,5 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf2 <strong>Pyunik Yerevan vs Van<\/strong> ressort \u00e9galement sur <strong>BTTS Oui \u00e0 2.25<\/strong>, avec <strong>+22,2 % d&rsquo;EV<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83e\udde9 System 2 of 3 for today<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">The model now advises playing the following three selections in a <strong>2 out of 3 system<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Malm\u00f6 FF \u2013 Degerfors IF \u2192 Over 2.5<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>IFK G\u00f6teborg \u2013 Kalmar FF \u2192 Under 2.5<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Slask Wroclaw \u2013 Cracovia Krakow \u2192 Over 2.5<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83d\udcca <strong>Score moyen : 49\/100<\/strong><br>\ud83d\udcc8 <strong>EV moyenne : +12,0 %<\/strong><br>\ud83d\udcb0 <strong>Mise sugg\u00e9r\u00e9e : 3 \u00e0 5 \u20ac au total<\/strong>, r\u00e9partie sur les trois doubles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">However, the model does not offer any classic combination today, as no combination has been deemed sufficiently coherent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">108 matches analyzed for only 10 Value Bets<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is probably the key figure to remember from this day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">FootProbability analyzed <strong>108 matches<\/strong>, but only kept <strong>10 as Value Bets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">The goal is therefore not to offer a bet on every match. A selection must present a sufficiently significant difference between the <strong>probability estimated by the model<\/strong> and the <strong>actually available odds<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">This approach allows us to distinguish between two important concepts: <strong>predicting the most likely outcome of a match and looking for odds that offer value are not necessarily the same thing<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">August 9, 2026 offers another busy day for FP Analyst with 108 matches analyzed and 10 Value Bets detected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2b50 <strong>Meilleur pronostic : Inter Turku \u2013 Lahti \u2192 Under 2.5 \u00e0 1.90<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">And for the <strong>Top 3 \/ 2 out of 3<\/strong> system:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud83e\udd47 Malm\u00f6 FF \u2013 Degerfors IF \u2192 <strong>Over 2.5<\/strong><br>\ud83e\udd48 IFK G\u00f6teborg \u2013 Kalmar FF \u2192 <strong>Under 2.5<\/strong><br>\ud83e\udd49 Slask Wroclaw \u2013 Cracovia Krakow \u2192 <strong>Over 2.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph translation-block\">Once again, FootProbability prioritizes <strong>selectivity, Expected Value and statistical analysis<\/strong> rather than the quantity of predictions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\ud83d\udcca Trust The Numbers.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The predictions are based on a statistical model and do not guarantee any outcome. Sports betting involves a risk of loss. Gamble responsibly.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ce 9 ao\u00fbt 2026, le mod\u00e8le FootProbability passe une nouvelle fois une grosse journ\u00e9e de football au crible. Au total, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":"","_members_access_role":[],"_members_access_error":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5848","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pronostics football du 9 ao\u00fbt 2026 : le Top 3 de FootProbability<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"D\u00e9couvrez les pronostics football du 9 ao\u00fbt 2026 : 108 matchs analys\u00e9s, 10 Value Bets et le Top 3 s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9 par FootProbability.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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