{"id":6865,"date":"2026-09-28T15:47:09","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T15:47:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?p=6865"},"modified":"2026-09-29T14:21:32","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T14:21:32","slug":"pronostic-quinte-29-septembre-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostic-quinte-29-septembre-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Quint\u00e9+ du 29 septembre 2026 : pronostic HorseProbability \u00e0 Chantilly"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pronostic HorseProbability publi\u00e9 le 28 septembre 2026, avant la course.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ce mardi 29 septembre 2026, le Quint\u00e9+ se dispute \u00e0 Chantilly<\/strong> dans le Prix de la Chambre du Duc<\/strong>, R\u00e9union 1 Course 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le d\u00e9part est pr\u00e9vu \u00e0 13h55<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cette \u00e9preuve de plat r\u00e9unit 16 partants<\/strong> sur les 1 900 m\u00e8tres de la piste en sable fibr\u00e9 (PSF)<\/strong>, corde \u00e0 droite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HorseProbability a analys\u00e9 la forme r\u00e9cente des chevaux, leur r\u00e9gularit\u00e9, leur aptitude \u00e0 la PSF et \u00e0 Chantilly, le poids, le num\u00e9ro de corde, les jockeys ainsi que plusieurs courses de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udfe0 Une course qui demande de la prudence<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Le Prix de la Chambre du Duc pr\u00e9sente plusieurs chevaux disposant de solides arguments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Certains concurrents affichent une excellente r\u00e9gularit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente, tandis que d’autres poss\u00e8dent des r\u00e9f\u00e9rences particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressantes sur la PSF de Chantilly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HorseProbability classe donc cette \u00e9preuve parmi les courses assez ouvertes<\/strong>, o\u00f9 le choix des quatre chevaux associ\u00e9s pourrait jouer un r\u00f4le d\u00e9terminant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd12 Base n\u00b01 : 2 \u2013 Zeloro<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Zeloro<\/strong> constitue notre premi\u00e8re base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il reste sur des performances r\u00e9guli\u00e8res avec notamment une deuxi\u00e8me place lors de sa derni\u00e8re sortie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa deuxi\u00e8me place obtenue sur 1 900 m\u00e8tres PSF \u00e0 Deauville<\/strong> constitue \u00e9galement une r\u00e9f\u00e9rence int\u00e9ressante pour la course de mardi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Malgr\u00e9 ses 60 kg<\/strong>, son profil reste suffisamment r\u00e9gulier pour en faire l’un des chevaux prioritaires de notre s\u00e9lection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : base solide pour les cinq premi\u00e8res places.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd12 Base n\u00b02 : 9 \u2013 Presa Diretta<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Presa Diretta<\/strong> pr\u00e9sente l’un des profils les plus r\u00e9guliers de cette course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ses derni\u00e8res performances affichent notamment plusieurs places : 3e, 3e, 4e et 3e<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elle b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie \u00e9galement d’un num\u00e9ro de corde particuli\u00e8rement int\u00e9ressant avec la corde 2<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa r\u00e9gularit\u00e9 et son aptitude \u00e0 la PSF en font logiquement notre deuxi\u00e8me base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : excellente candidate pour int\u00e9grer l’arriv\u00e9e du Quint\u00e9+.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd12 Base n\u00b03 : 7 \u2013 Boticelli<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Notre troisi\u00e8me base est plus audacieuse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Boticelli<\/strong> reste sur une quatri\u00e8me place encourageante et b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie cette fois de plusieurs param\u00e8tres int\u00e9ressants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il partira de la corde 1<\/strong> et sera associ\u00e9 \u00e0 Christophe Soumillon<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa musique r\u00e9cente est moins r\u00e9guli\u00e8re que celle de Zeloro ou Presa Diretta, mais les conditions de cette course peuvent lui permettre de retrouver son meilleur niveau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HorseProbability pr\u00e9f\u00e8re donc le retenir comme troisi\u00e8me base plut\u00f4t que de se limiter aux chevaux pr\u00e9sentant simplement la meilleure musique r\u00e9cente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : notre base la plus sp\u00e9culative, mais son profil est int\u00e9ressant pour cette course.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2b50 Associ\u00e9 : 12 \u2013 True Tedesco<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

True Tedesco<\/strong> poss\u00e8de un argument particuli\u00e8rement important : il a remport\u00e9 le Prix de la Chambre du Duc en 2025<\/strong>, sur ce m\u00eame parcours de 1 900 m\u00e8tres PSF \u00e0 Chantilly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il revient donc sur une course qu’il conna\u00eet parfaitement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il reste \u00e9galement sur une deuxi\u00e8me place et b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiera de la corde 3<\/strong> avec seulement 53,5 kg<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C’est exactement le type de cheval que HorseProbability recherche parmi les associ\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : candidat s\u00e9rieux aux cinq premi\u00e8res places.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2b50 Associ\u00e9 : 4 \u2013 Central Park West<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Autre cheval poss\u00e9dant une r\u00e9f\u00e9rence remarquable dans cette \u00e9preuve : Central Park West<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il a remport\u00e9 le Prix de la Chambre du Duc en 2024<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa forme actuelle est \u00e9galement int\u00e9ressante puisqu’il reste sur une troisi\u00e8me place apr\u00e8s avoir remport\u00e9 sa sortie pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avec la corde 5<\/strong>, il dispose d’un profil suffisamment complet pour int\u00e9grer notre s\u00e9lection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : exp\u00e9rience du parcours et forme actuelle int\u00e9ressantes.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2b50 Associ\u00e9 : 1 \u2013 Anssio<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Anssio<\/strong> est probablement l’un des chevaux les plus r\u00e9guliers du peloton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ses derni\u00e8res sorties sont remarquables : 2e, 2e, 3e et 5e<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deux \u00e9l\u00e9ments nous emp\u00eachent toutefois d’en faire une base : il portera 60 kg<\/strong> et devra composer avec la corde 15<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son potentiel reste n\u00e9anmoins largement suffisant pour int\u00e9grer notre s\u00e9lection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : excellente chance, mais poids et num\u00e9ro de corde incitent \u00e0 la prudence.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfaf Outsider HorseProbability : 3 \u2013 Rock Blanc<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Rock Blanc<\/strong> repr\u00e9sente notre profil outsider.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa musique r\u00e9cente peut sembler moins attractive, mais ce cheval poss\u00e8de des r\u00e9f\u00e9rences int\u00e9ressantes sur la PSF de Chantilly<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiera \u00e9galement d’un excellent num\u00e9ro avec la corde 4<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HorseProbability pr\u00e9f\u00e8re donc regarder au-del\u00e0 de ses deux derni\u00e8res performances et conserver ce cheval parmi les quatre associ\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Avis HorseProbability : outsider cr\u00e9dible capable de compl\u00e9ter l’arriv\u00e9e \u00e0 belle cote.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd04 Premi\u00e8re r\u00e9serve : 14 \u2013 Almaromy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Almaromy<\/strong> reste sur une victoire pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9e d’une troisi\u00e8me place et ne portera que 53 kg<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sa r\u00e9cente victoire entra\u00eene toutefois une p\u00e9nalisation au poids.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elle reste notre premi\u00e8re r\u00e9serve<\/strong> et pourrait int\u00e9grer la s\u00e9lection en cas de non-partant parmi nos sept chevaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfc7 Pronostic HorseProbability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd12 Les 3 bases<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

2 \u2013 Zeloro<\/strong>
9 \u2013 Presa Diretta<\/strong>
7 \u2013 Boticelli<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2b50 Les 4 associ\u00e9s<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

12 \u2013 True Tedesco<\/strong>
4 \u2013 Central Park West<\/strong>
1 \u2013 Anssio<\/strong>
3 \u2013 Rock Blanc<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd04 R\u00e9serve<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

14 \u2013 Almaromy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udfab Formule Quint\u00e9+ HorseProbability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Quint\u00e9+ en champ r\u00e9duit \u2013 Flexi 25 %<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bases : 2 \u2013 9 \u2013 7<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Associ\u00e9s : 12 \u2013 4 \u2013 1 \u2013 3<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e9lection compl\u00e8te : 2 \u2013 9 \u2013 7 \u2013 12 \u2013 4 \u2013 1 \u2013 3<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mise totale : 6 \u20ac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

L’objectif est de retrouver nos trois chevaux de base parmi les cinq premiers<\/strong>, puis de compl\u00e9ter l’arriv\u00e9e avec deux chevaux parmi nos quatre associ\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83e\udd1d Nos partenaires hippiques<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Vous souhaitez consulter les cotes ou jouer votre propre s\u00e9lection ? Retrouvez les paris hippiques propos\u00e9s par nos partenaires PMU<\/strong> and Genybet<\/strong>.
<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n
\ud83d\udc0e Acc\u00e9der \u00e0 PMU<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n
\ud83c\udfc7 Acc\u00e9der \u00e0 Genybet<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcca Ce que nous surveillerons apr\u00e8s la course<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cette course constitue le premier pronostic officiel publi\u00e9 par HorseProbability<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apr\u00e8s l’arriv\u00e9e, nous enregistrerons le nombre de bases pr\u00e9sentes dans les cinq premiers, le nombre total de chevaux trouv\u00e9s dans le Quint\u00e9+ et le r\u00e9sultat de la formule propos\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ces donn\u00e9es permettront progressivement d’am\u00e9liorer le mod\u00e8le, notamment dans la s\u00e9lection des quatre chevaux associ\u00e9s<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mise \u00e0 jour \u00e9ventuelle :<\/strong> en cas de non-partant annonc\u00e9 avant la course, cette page sera actualis\u00e9e et la modification sera clairement indiqu\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u26a0\ufe0f Jouer de mani\u00e8re responsable<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Les pronostics HorseProbability reposent sur une analyse statistique et sportive et ne constituent jamais une garantie de gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les courses hippiques restent impr\u00e9visibles et toute mise peut \u00eatre perdue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La s\u00e9lection et la formule propos\u00e9es sont fournies \u00e0 titre informatif. Ne misez jamais une somme que vous ne pouvez pas vous permettre de perdre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcca Bilan HorseProbability du Quint\u00e9+<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Arriv\u00e9e officielle : 1 \u2013 9 \u2013 15 \u2013 2 \u2013 4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

HorseProbability avait s\u00e9lectionn\u00e9 7 chevaux : 2 \u2013 9 \u2013 7 \u2013 1 \u2013 3 \u2013 4 \u2013 12<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4 des 5 chevaux de l\u2019arriv\u00e9e \u00e9taient pr\u00e9sents dans notre s\u00e9lection : 1, 9, 2 et 4.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nos trois bases \u00e9taient 2 \u2013 9 \u2013 7<\/strong>. Les num\u00e9ros 2 et 9<\/strong> terminent dans le Quint\u00e9+, tandis que le 7<\/strong> reste hors des cinq premi\u00e8res places. Le 15<\/strong>, troisi\u00e8me de l\u2019\u00e9preuve, est le seul cheval de l\u2019arriv\u00e9e qui manquait \u00e0 notre s\u00e9lection de 7.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\ud83c\udf9f\ufe0f R\u00e9sultat du ticket<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Quint\u00e9+ en champ r\u00e9duit \u2013 Flexi 25 %<\/strong>
Bases : 2 \u2013 9 \u2013 7<\/strong>
Associ\u00e9s : 1 \u2013 3 \u2013 4 \u2013 12<\/strong>
Mise : 6 \u20ac<\/strong>
Gain : 4 \u20ac<\/strong>
R\u00e9sultat net : \u20132 \u20ac<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udd2c Ce que nous retenons de cette course<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

La s\u00e9lection HorseProbability place 4 chevaux sur 5 dans l\u2019arriv\u00e9e du Quint\u00e9+<\/strong>, ce qui confirme une bonne lecture globale de la course. En revanche, la construction en champ r\u00e9duit est p\u00e9nalis\u00e9e par l\u2019absence du 7<\/strong>, qui faisait partie de nos trois bases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

THE 15<\/strong>, troisi\u00e8me de l\u2019\u00e9preuve, est le seul cheval de l\u2019arriv\u00e9e absent de notre s\u00e9lection de sept chevaux.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cette course montre donc l\u2019importance de poursuivre le travail sur la hi\u00e9rarchisation des bases<\/strong>. L\u2019objectif n\u2019est pas de modifier la m\u00e9thode apr\u00e8s chaque r\u00e9sultat, mais d\u2019enregistrer les courses et d\u2019identifier progressivement les crit\u00e8res qui permettront d\u2019am\u00e9liorer la s\u00e9lection HorseProbability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 Suivi des performances HorseProbability<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Apr\u00e8s 2 courses suivies<\/strong>, HorseProbability totalise :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Courses analys\u00e9es : 2<\/strong>
Mises cumul\u00e9es : 12 \u20ac<\/strong>
Gains cumul\u00e9s : 10,60 \u20ac<\/strong>
R\u00e9sultat net : \u20131,40 \u20ac<\/strong>
ROI : \u201311,7 %<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le suivi est mis \u00e0 jour apr\u00e8s chaque Quint\u00e9+ afin de mesurer les performances de la m\u00e9thode sur la dur\u00e9e. Tous les pronostics sont publi\u00e9s avant la course et conserv\u00e9s, quel que soit le r\u00e9sultat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pronostic HorseProbability publi\u00e9 le 28 septembre 2026, avant la course. Ce mardi 29 septembre 2026, le Quint\u00e9+ se dispute \u00e0 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