{"id":6946,"date":"2026-10-03T01:42:43","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T01:42:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/?p=6946"},"modified":"2026-10-03T05:12:52","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T05:12:52","slug":"pronostics-football-3-octobre-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/footprobability.com\/en\/pronostics-football-3-octobre-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Football predictions for October 3, 2026: 34 Value Bets and one Strong Match at 69\/100."},"content":{"rendered":"

FootProbability heads into this Saturday, October 3, 2026, with a particularly busy schedule. The model has analyzed 93 matches<\/strong> and identified 34 Value Bets<\/strong>. The average EV stands at +17.7%<\/strong>, and the average confidence level is 53.9%<\/strong>. In total, 15 matches have achieved a model score of 50\/100 or higher<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The schedule is therefore much more extensive than Friday's. However, this volume of \"Value Bets\" does not mean that all 34 selections are equally attractive; the projected scores and confidence levels vary significantly from one match to another. The FootProbability ranking makes it possible to pinpoint the opportunities that stand out the most clearly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

October 2nd Roundup: Value Bets limit the damage<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

October 2nd was a day of mixed results. Of the **7 results currently recorded in the tracker**, FootProbability has **3 winning predictions and 4 losing ones**, representing a 42.9% success rate. The **Top 3 finished 0 for 3**, with defeats for Ittihad Tanger against Moghreb T\u00e9touan, Widad T\u00e9mara against UTS Rabat, and DR Congo against Uganda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The situation is very different for the selections classified as **Value** in the tracker. S\u00e3o Paulo vs. Santos (Over 2.5 @2.04), Eldense vs. Oviedo (Over 2.5 @2.34), and Independiente vs. Instituto C\u00f3rdoba (BTTS Yes @2.06) were winning bets. Only South Korea vs. Venezuela (BTTS Yes @2.00) was a losing bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The \"Value\" record is therefore **3 wins out of 4**. With a fixed theoretical stake of 1 unit per selection, 4 units would have been wagered for a return of 6.44 units, resulting in **+2.44 units and a theoretical ROI of +61%**.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This result also demonstrates why FootProbability separates the various indicators. A given day might be poor for the most highly recommended picks while still yielding a positive outcome for the recorded Value Bets. Conversely, a successful run offers no guarantee regarding the results of the following day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strong Match: Cray Wanderers \u2013 Chippenham Town<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Highlight Match on October 3rd<\/strong> is Cray Wanderers \u2013 Chippenham Town in the FA Cup. FootProbability selects Under 2.5 @2.38<\/strong> with a model score of 69\/100<\/strong>. The EV reaches +34.0%<\/strong> and confidence is 56.3%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is the best rating of the day, and this match is also classified as a Value Bet. The model detects a significant discrepancy between its estimated probability for the Over\/Under market and the odds offered. The projected score shown is 1-1<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\r\n\r\n \r\n Play on Betsson\r\n <\/a>\r\n\r\n \r\n Play on PokerStars\r\n <\/a>\r\n\r\n \r\n Play on NetBet\r\n <\/a>\r\n\r\n <\/div>\r\n\r\n