Find worthwhile bets using probabilities.
Stop betting randomly. Our model identifies value bets (+EV) by comparing actual probabilities and bookmaker odds.
Most bettors lose not because they are wrong, but because they bet at the wrong price.
Footprobability identifies bets with positive expected value (EV+) to improve long-term profitability.
📊 Latest analysis published
MONACO / MARSEILLE: Prediction
Monaco vs Marseille is shaping up to be one of the major clashes of this Ligue 1 matchday, with a direct impact on the race for places…
Learning to analyze football
Discover our guides to better understand matches and improve your football analysis using statistics and probabilities.
- Why probabilities are important
- How to quickly improve your football analysis skills
- Top 5 mistakes made by beginner bettors
- How to identify a value bet in football
- How to analyze a football match like a professional
- Bankroll management in football: how to manage your bets effectively
- Télécharger le tableau de suivi de bankroll (gratuit)
Our goal is simple: to offer clear, readable and data-backed predictions to help bettors better understand the odds and spot the most interesting opportunities of the day.
How do our football predictions work?
Our predictions are calculated using a statistical model that estimates the probable number of goals for each team. This model takes into account several factors, such as offensive and defensive performances, recent results, and the differences between home and away games.
From these estimates, we calculate the probabilities 1 / N / 2The most probable score and the potential value of a bet. When odds offered by a bookmaker are higher than the actual probability estimated by our model, we then speak of value bet.
How to read our analyses
Each prediction published on Foot Probability displays a main pick, odds, confidence level, probable score, and detailed match probabilities. This allows you to go beyond a simple "recommended bet" and understand why a selection stands out statistically.
Today's top prediction is the bet that offers one of the best combinations of probability of success, expected value, and statistical consistency. Our analyses are aimed at bettors who want to make their decisions with more method and less pure intuition.
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Access all the predictions generated by our statistical model and the best opportunities detected each day.
✔ Value bets automatically detected
✔ Probabilities 1 / N / 2
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Frequently asked questions
Are the predictions updated daily?
Yes, new matches are analyzed daily in order to offer the best selections of the day.
What does a value bet mean?
A value bet is a bet whose odds seem higher than the actual probability estimated by our statistical model.
Who is Foot Probability aimed at?
The site is aimed at football betting enthusiasts who want to use a statistical approach to analyze matches and compare odds.
