FootProbability continues its daily analysis this September 12, 2026. It is a particularly busy day, with 150 matches analyzed and 28 value bets identified. The average EV is +21.6%, and the average confidence level reaches 45.2%.
Before looking at today's predictions, let's review the results from September 11. The day saw several high-odds wins, notably the Fort Van match at odds of 3.31.
📊 Results of the September 11 predictions
FootProbability has recorded 16 selections in its history. The record stands at 6 winning and 10 losing predictions, representing a 37.5% success rate.
Several winning bets had high odds: Van @3.31, Vissel Kobe @2.89, Benevento @2.80, 1. FC Nürnberg @2.56, Farul Constanta @2.30, and St Patrick’s Athletic @2.16.
This analysis shows why the success rate should not be viewed in isolation. The odds of winning bets are also important. A strategy based on "value bets" primarily seeks value in the odds over the long term.
⭐ Strong Pick: Van @3.31 wins
The featured match on September 11 was **Van vs. BKMA**. FootProbability had selected a **Van win at odds of 3.31**, with an EV of **+60.3%**.
Van s’est finalement imposé 2-1. Le Match Fort est donc gagnant. ✅ Cette victoire à une cote supérieure à 3,00 est l’une des principales satisfactions de la journée.
📈 Performance is measured over the long term.
A single day is not enough to judge a model's performance. FootProbability therefore keeps a record of winning and losing bets.
The goal is to track results across a large number of selections. ROI, profit in units, average odds, and success rate then provide a more comprehensive view of performance.
FootProbability does not aim to correctly predict every match. The model seeks to identify situations where the odds appear attractive relative to the calculated probability.
⚽ Football predictions for September 12, 2026
The day of September 12 is much more important in volume. The model currently covers 150 matches, including 28 Value Bets. The average EV is +21.6% and the average trust is 45.2%.
The number of matches analyzed does not mean that you should bet on every game. The model analyzes a large number of matches in order to select the situations that offer the most value.
⭐ Strong Match: Atlante FC – CF Pachuca
The top match of the day is in Mexico, featuring **Atlante FC vs. CF Pachuca**. The model predicts an **Atlante FC victory at odds of 2.82**.
The selection obtains a model score of 57/100, an EV of +35.5% and a confidence of 48.0%. The probable score calculated is 2-1.
The model therefore identifies value in an Atlante FC victory. However, the odds of 2.82 remain high, and the risk must be taken into account.
🏆 Top 3 FootProbability
Today's Top 3 begins with Atlante FC vs. CF Pachuca. The prediction is Atlante FC to win @2.82, with a score of 57/100 and an EV of +35.5%.
The second pick is FF Jaro – SJK. The model selects FF Jaro to win @3.25, with a score of 56/100 and an EV of +53.6%.
The third pick is Colwyn Bay – GAP Connah's Quay FC. The prediction is Colwyn Bay to win @3.14, with a score of 56/100 and an EV of +44.8%.
The three selections feature high odds. They represent opportunities identified by the model, not guaranteed results.
🧩 Multiple advice 2 out of 3
The first match in the system is Ilves vs. Lahti, with the prediction Under 2.5 goals @2.25. This selection achieves an excellent score of 76/100, an EV of +38.4%, and a confidence level of 61.5%.
The second pick is Casa Pia vs. FC Porto, with BTTS Yes @2.33. The model score is 69/100, with an EV of +31.1% and a confidence level of 56.3%.
The third pick is Amazulu vs. Marumo Gallants, with Over 2.5 goals @2.35. It has a score of 68/100, an EV of +30.4%, and a confidence level of 55.5%.
The system thus shows an average score of 71/100 and an average EV of +33.3%. The principle of the "2-out-of-3" system is simple: getting two out of three selections right ensures that one of the three double combinations is a winner.
🛡️ Today's favorites
Favorites are presented separately from Value Bets. Today, the top favorite is FC Levadia Tallinn vs. Vaprus. The model assigns Levadia a 66.3% probability of winning, with odds of 1.08.
The second is Twente vs. ADO Den Haag, with a Twente win at 1.21 and a model probability of 52.6%. The third is Teuta Durrës vs. Vora, with a Teuta win at 1.57 and a probability of 50.4%.
A logical favorite is not automatically a value bet. A team may have a high probability of winning without the odds being sufficiently attractive.
💎 Other value bets to watch
Several other picks are drawing attention today. V-Varen Nagasaki is tipped to beat Nagoya Grampus at odds of 3.10, with a rating of 55/100 and an EV of +41.8%.
In the CAF Champions League, **Djoliba** is the pick to beat Club Africain at odds of **3.50**. The model score is **55/100**, and the EV reaches **+54.7%**.
For the **Bournemouth vs. Brentford** match in England, the model focuses on a different market. The prediction is **Under 2.5 goals @2.29**, with a score of **65/100** and an EV of **+23.3%**.
📊 150 matches analyzed, but only 28 value bets.
FootProbability covers 150 matches today, but only 28 are currently classified as Value Bets. This distinction is important: the goal is not to place a large number of bets, but to seek out situations where the model detects a significant discrepancy.
Following the victory of the "Strong Match" pick **Van @3.31**, **Atlante FC @2.82** now takes the lead. The Top 3 also features two selections with odds above 3.00, and the 2-out-of-3 system boasts a high average score of **71/100**.
The results will be added to the history to continue measuring the model's performance over time. Both wins and losses will remain visible to maintain a transparent approach.
FootProbability analyzes the probabilities. The results decide the rest.
Sports betting involves risks. Gamble responsibly.