On Monday, August 24, 2026, the FootProbability statistical model analyzes 28 matches and detects 17 Value Bets among the matches currently covered.
On Monday, August 24, 2026, the FootProbability statistical model analyzes 28 matches and detects 17 Value Bets among the matches currently covered.
The three best opportunities of the day stand out in particular in the BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 markets.
🎯 Match of the day: Tigre – Central Córdoba
The match between Tigre and Central Córdoba de Santiago is currently the Strong Match selected by FootProbability.
The preferred model is:
Prognosis: BTTS – Yes
Average rating: 2.48
EV: +39.3%
Confidence: 48.0%
Model score: 59/100
The discrepancy detected between the probability estimated by the model and the average odds available makes this selection particularly interesting, even if the level of confidence suggests maintaining reasonable stake management.
🔥 Top 3 FootProbability predictions
1. Tigre – Central Córdoba de Santiago
Prognosis: BTTS – Yes
Average rating: 2.48
EV: +39.3%
Confidence: 48.0%
Model score: 59/100
Both teams could find the back of the net in a match where the BTTS market currently presents the best combination of value, confidence, and scoring model.
2. Malaga – Deportivo La Coruña
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Average rating: 2.53
EV: +34.4%
Confidence: 45.4%
Model score: 57/100
The model identifies an interesting value in a match with at least three goals. The average odds of 2.53 allow for a significant positive EV.
3. Altglienicke – VfL Wolfsburg
Prognosis: Under 2.5 goals
Average rating: 3.31
EV: +58.3%
Confidence: 43.2%
Model score: 56/100
This is the highest EV of the Top 3. However, confidence remains more moderate, which justifies considering this selection as a high-value opportunity but with more caution.
📊 A more selective day for the model
The day of August 24th currently presents 17 Value Bets out of 28 matches analyzed.
The average EV of +6.3% above all shows that not all encounters present a significant advantage. FootProbability specifically seeks to distinguish opportunities where the probability calculated by the model is higher than that implicitly reflected by market odds.
Other interesting matches include Osasuna – Levante, with a Levante win at average odds of 4.49 and an EV of +35.7%, and Botev Vratsa – Botev Plovdiv, with a Botev Vratsa win at 3.53 and +52.1% EV.
These high odds nevertheless imply a lower probability of success: a high EV never means that a bet is certain to win.
🧠 How does FootProbability identify a Value Bet?
FootProbability uses a statistical model to estimate the probabilities of different match scenarios: 1X2 result, number of goals, BTTS and probable score.
These probabilities are then compared to the odds available on the market.
A Value Bet appears when odds offer, according to the model's estimates, a positive expected value.
Therefore, the rating should never be interpreted alone: probability, EV, confidence and model score must be analyzed together.
⚽ Today's predictions on FootProbability
Members can find all the analyzed matches, Value Bets, details of probabilities and probable scores directly in the FootProbability member area.
As data and odds may change before kick-off, the selections presented correspond to the information available at the time of analysis.
Play responsibly. Statistical predictions are estimates and never guarantee the outcome of a match.