Before discovering the best opportunities of this Monday, September 7, 2026, let's look back at the results recorded yesterday by FootProbability.
Transparency is part of our approach: a Value Bet is never a guarantee of victory and results must be analyzed over time.
📊 September 6th results: 2 out of 3 for the Top 3
The Top 3 recorded by the FootProbability tracking ends the day with two winning predictions out of three.
✅ Birmingham – Wolves : Over 2,5
Score final : 2-2
Side : 1,95
❌ Kashima – Urawa : Over 2,5
Score final : 0-1
Side : 1,74
✅ St Johnstone – Hibernian : Over 2,5
Score final : 2-1
Side : 1,86
The Top 3's record is therefore positive in terms of the number of winning selections, with 2 correct predictions out of 3.
The day also produced several interesting results at significantly higher odds.
💎 Two outsiders with odds of over 3.00 to win
Among the selections detected by the model, two Japanese results stand out in particular.
JEF United Chiba defeated Gamba Osaka 2-0. JEF's victory was offered at odds of 3.34.
Even more spectacular, Fagiano Okayama beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2, while Fagiano's victory was priced at 3.66.
These results clearly illustrate the principle of a Value Bet: seeking odds that the model estimates to be higher than the actual probability of the event, even when the selected team is not the market favorite.
But not all strong EVs translated into victories, of course. Several outsiders identified by the model also lost.
That's why high EV never means a sure bet.
⚽ Predictions for September 7, 2026
Now, let's turn to today's matches.
FootProbability analyzed 45 matches and detected:
⚽ 45 matchs analysés
💎 23 Value Bets
📈 EV moyenne : +27,3 %
⭐ Confiance moyenne : 46,6 %
The day is less busy than Sunday's, but more than half of the matches analyzed currently present a Value Bet according to the model's criteria.
⭐ Strong Match: Getafe – Celta Vigo
The September 7 Fort FootProbability Match is in La Liga.
Getafe – Celta Vigo
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Model score: 62/100
Odds: 2.94
EV: +56.6%
Confidence: 53.2%
Probable score: 1-1
The rating of 2.94 is particularly high for an Over 2.5 market.
The model estimates that the probability of scoring at least three goals is high enough to create a significant difference from the odds offered by the market.
With an EV of +56.6%, Getafe – Celta thus takes first place among the opportunities of the day.
🏆 FootProbability Top 3 of September 7th
The three best ratings of the model today relate to the same market: Over 2.5 goals.
🥇 Getafe – Celta Vigo
Over 2,5 @2,94
Model score: 62/100
EV : +56,6 %
Confidence: 53,2 %
🥈 Kallithea – Niki Volos
Over 2,5 @2,80
Model score: 62/100
EV : +48,5 %
Confidence: 53,1 %
The Greek league thus provides the second best selection of the day.
🥉 Udinese – Lazio
Over 2,5 @2,33
Model score: 60/100
EV : +23,2 %
Confidence: 52,8 %
Serie A completes the podium with Udinese – Lazio.
The Top 3 is therefore particularly homogeneous today: three Over 2.5, three odds above 2.30 and model scores between 60 and 62/100.
🧩 System 2 out of 3 for today
FootProbability also includes these three selections in its 2 out of 3 system:
Getafe – Celta : Over 2,5 @2,94
Kallithea – Niki Volos : Over 2,5 @2,80
Udinese – Lazio : Over 2,5 @2,33
The system displays:
Average score: 61/100
Average EV: +42.8%
The advantage of a 2 out of 3 system is that it does not require all three predictions to be correct in order to obtain a return, unlike a classic accumulator.
⭐ No logical favorite today
Unlike some days, no team currently meets the criteria for the Favorites of the Day block.
FootProbability therefore does not force any selection simply to fill this category.
This is an important distinction: a day can present many Value Bets without a market favorite being sufficiently confirmed by the model.
🔎 Other Value Bets to Watch
A few matches located behind the Top 3 also deserve attention.
In La Liga, Elche – Real Sociedad stands out with an Elche victory @3.07, with an EV of +34.5% and a model score of 54/100.
In Sweden, Mjällby vs. Göteborg is valued at 2.30 for a home win, with +18.5% EV and a score of 57/100.
A much more speculative bet also appears in Argentina with Barracas Central to beat Argentinos Juniors @4.33 and a theoretical EV of +97.1%. Such an EV should, however, be interpreted with caution: the high odds immediately highlight the associated level of risk.
🎯 What to remember from September 7th?
After a Top 3 at 2/3 yesterday, FootProbability starts again today with a shorter day of 45 matches.
The model particularly highlights goal markets:
🥇 Getafe – Celta : Over 2,5 @2,94
🥈 Kallithea – Niki Volos : Over 2,5 @2,80
🥉 Udinese – Lazio : Over 2,5 @2,33
The peculiarity of the day is clear: the first three positions are occupied by Over 2.5 with odds greater than 2.30.
As always, odds can change until kick-off. All probabilities, model scores, and Value Bets are available in the FootProbability Member Area.
FootProbability analyzes the probabilities. The results decide the rest.
Sports betting involves the risk of loss. Gamble responsibly.