On August 9, 2026, the FootProbability model once again puts a big day of football under scrutiny.
In total, 108 matches were analyzed and only 10 are classified as Value Bets. The average EV reached +29.6%, with an average confidence of 45.2%.
This limited selection compared to the number of matches analyzed illustrates the principle of FootProbability: seek value rather than multiply bets.
📊 Figures from August 9, 2026
- ⚽ 108 matchs analysés
- 💰 10 Value Bets
- 📈 EV moyenne : +29,6 %
- ⭐ Confiance moyenne : 45,2 %
⭐ Best prediction of the day: Inter Turku vs Lahti
Head to the Finnish Veikkausliiga for the best prediction posted today by FP Analyst.
🇫🇮 Inter Turku vs Lahti
🎯 Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
- 📊 Model score: 62/100
- 💰 Rating: 1.90
- 📈 EV : +37,4 %
- ⚽ Probable score: 0-0
- 📉 Probability Over 2.5: 27,7 %
- 🎯 BTTS Probability: 36,5 %
The model therefore anticipates a rather close match. With odds of 1.90, the Under 2.5 presents an interesting gap between the estimated probability and the price offered by the market.
🏆 Top 3 FootProbability for August 9, 2026
For its system 2 out of 3, FP Analyst selects three matches.
🥇 Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF
🎯 Over 2.5 goals
- 💰 Rating: 1.67
- 📈 EV : +11,7 %
- 📊 Model score: 55/100
- 📈 Probability Over 2.5: 66,9 %
- ⚽ BTTS Probability: 64,7 %
The attacking profile of the match leads the model to favor the goals market rather than a 1X2 selection.
🥈 IFK Göteborg vs Kalmar FF
🎯 Under 2.5 goals
- 💰 Rating: 2.15
- 📈 EV : +13,3 %
- 📊 Model score: 50/100
- 📉 Probability Over 2.5: 47,3 %
- ⚽ Probable score: 1-1
With a rating above 2.00, the model identifies a positive value on the Under 2.5.
🥉 Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow
🎯 Over 2.5 goals
- 💰 Rating: 2.10
- 📈 EV : +11,0 %
- 📊 Model score: 43/100
- 📈 Probability Over 2.5: 52,9 %
- ⚽ BTTS Probability: 56,3 %
The third selection takes us to the Polish Ekstraklasa, with an Over 2.5 bet offered at odds of 2.10
🔥 Other interesting Value Bets
The top 3 is not necessarily composed of the three highest EVs. Among the other matches analyzed, several discrepancies stand out in particular.
🇦🇷 Argentinos JRS vs Racing Club affiche notamment un Over 2.5 à 2.79 pour +47,2 % d’EV, avec un score modèle de 57/100.
🇦🇲 Shirak vs FC Noah propose BTTS Oui à 2.25, pour une EV de +26,5 %.
🇦🇲 Pyunik Yerevan vs Van ressort également sur BTTS Oui à 2.25, avec +22,2 % d’EV.
🧩 System 2 of 3 for today
The model now advises playing the following three selections in a 2 out of 3 system:
- Malmö FF – Degerfors IF → Over 2.5
- IFK Göteborg – Kalmar FF → Under 2.5
- Slask Wroclaw – Cracovia Krakow → Over 2.5
📊 Score moyen : 49/100
📈 EV moyenne : +12,0 %
💰 Mise suggérée : 3 à 5 € au total, répartie sur les trois doubles.
However, the model does not offer any classic combination today, as no combination has been deemed sufficiently coherent.
108 matches analyzed for only 10 Value Bets
This is probably the key figure to remember from this day.
FootProbability analyzed 108 matches, but only kept 10 as Value Bets.
The goal is therefore not to offer a bet on every match. A selection must present a sufficiently significant difference between the probability estimated by the model and the actually available odds.
This approach allows us to distinguish between two important concepts: predicting the most likely outcome of a match and looking for odds that offer value are not necessarily the same thing.
Conclusion
August 9, 2026 offers another busy day for FP Analyst with 108 matches analyzed and 10 Value Bets detected.
⭐ Meilleur pronostic : Inter Turku – Lahti → Under 2.5 à 1.90
And for the Top 3 / 2 out of 3 system:
🥇 Malmö FF – Degerfors IF → Over 2.5
🥈 IFK Göteborg – Kalmar FF → Under 2.5
🥉 Slask Wroclaw – Cracovia Krakow → Over 2.5
Once again, FootProbability prioritizes selectivity, Expected Value and statistical analysis rather than the quantity of predictions.
📊 Trust The Numbers.
The predictions are based on a statistical model and do not guarantee any outcome. Sports betting involves a risk of loss. Gamble responsibly.